中国专家:只要尼泊尔有一个稳定的政府,无论哪个政党执政中国都表示

2021年02月02日 09:07  点击:[]

中国专家:只要尼泊尔有一个稳定的政府,无论哪个政党执政中国都表示支持

2020年12月22日    刊于:《共和报》



加德满都,12月22日讯:一位中国学者说,只要尼泊尔有一个稳定的政府,无论哪个政党执政中国都表示支持。北京外国语大学区域与全球治理研究院高级研究员龙兴春发表在《环球时报》上的文章中写道,中国希望尼泊尔能够有一个稳定的政府,不要频繁变动,让每个人都受益,也有利于中尼关系。”


他还写到:“实际上,只要尼泊尔有一个稳定的政府,无论哪个政党执政中国都表示支持。”同时还是成都世界事务研究院院长的龙兴春又表示,中国没有援助、胁迫或向尼泊尔任何执政党施加压力。他在文章中还提到:“中国发挥的协调作用不应被视为干涉尼泊尔内政。印方的指控毫无根据。”这位学者还指责印度干涉尼泊尔内政,包括指责印度在2015年对尼泊尔封锁边境。


“印度媒体经常挑衅中尼关系,但这不会掀起波澜。尼泊尔政界人士深知与中国合作的重要性。一些印度媒体的挑拨离间策略注定会失败。”这位学者还说,执政的尼泊尔共产党内部的分裂不利于国家的政治稳定和共产党的整体利益。“当尼共统一战线和尼共(毛派)合并时,尼泊尔和国际社会都期望尼泊尔将迎来一个政治稳定时期。此前,尼泊尔政府频繁变动严重损害了该国的社会稳定和经济增长。不幸的是,仅仅过了两年,这个国家就可能再次陷入政治动荡的局面。”


“这位中国专家还提到,尼泊尔两个共产党尚未完全合并。奥利和普拉昌达领导的势力可能会将现任共产党分裂为两个政党。这不利于国家的政治稳定和共产党的大局。第三方,比如尼泊尔社会民主政党尼泊尔大会党,可能会从这场混乱中受益。”在谈到总理奥利解散议会的决定时,这位中国学者说,解散议会可能会引起巨大的动荡。


将在2021年上半年进行的选举,结果将非常不确定。如果全国大会党分裂,来自不同势力的选票将变得非常分散。尼泊尔政治可能会倒退到以前的不确定和不稳定状态。”在谈到尼泊尔政治可能出现的情况时,这位中国学者推测,尼泊尔没有一个政党能够获得议会半数以上的席位。他认为:“会像以前一样出现联合政府,这将导致利益分配不均。随时可能出现叛变情况,导致政府垮台。”


 

Translated by Sun Dali

Verified by Li Fang

KATHMANDU, Dec 22: China has no preference about who the ruling party is, but only hopes that Nepal has a stable government, a Chinese scholar has said. In his article published in the state-run Global Times, Long Xingchun, a senior research fellow with the Academy of Regional and Global Governance at the Beijing Foreign Studies University, has said that China hopes Nepal can have a stable government which does not change too frequently so that everyone benefits. “This also includes China-Nepal ties,” he wrote.


“Actually, China has no preference about who the ruling party is, but only hopes that Nepal has a stable government," he has written further. Xingchun, who is also president of the Chengdu Institute of World Affairs, said that China has not aided, coerced, or imposed pressure on any ruling party of Nepal. "The coordinative role played by China should not be viewed as interference in Nepal's internal politics. The accusations from the Indian side are groundless," he added in his piece. The scholar also accused India of interfering into internal affairs of Nepal, including implementing a blockade in 2015.


"The Indian media often provoke China-Nepal relations, but this will not send big waves. Politicians in Nepal well understand the importance of cooperating with China. The wedge-driving maneuvers by some Indian media are bound to fail," he said. The scholar also said that the split in the ruling Nepal Communist Party is not favorable to the country's political stability and the communist party overall. "When CPN-UML and the CPN Maoist Centre merged, both Nepal and the international community expected that Nepal would usher a period of political stability. Previously, Nepal's frequent changes in government gravely impaired the country's social stability and economic growth. Unfortunately, the country may fall into political instability once again only after just two years," he said.


The Chinese expert also mentioned that the merger between Nepal's two communist parties was yet to be fully realized. "Forces led by Oli and Dahal may split the current communist party into two parties. This is unfavorable to the country's political stability and the communist party overall. A third party, such as the Nepali Congress, a social-democratic political party in Nepal, may benefit from this chaos," he said. Talking about Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli's decision to dissolve parliament, the Chinese scholar said that the dissolution of parliament may cause great turmoil.


"Elections will be held in the first half of 2021, and the result will be highly uncertain. If the NCP splits, votes from different forces will become very scattered. Nepalese politics may backslide into a former state of uncertainty and instability," he said. While talking about the likely scenario of Nepali polity, the Chinese scholar has speculated that no party in the country will be able to obtain over half of the seats in parliament. "A coalition government will emerge, like before, which will lead to an uneven distribution of interests. Defection could occur any time, resulting in a short-lived government," he opined.


Original Link :

https://myrepublica.nagariknetwork.com/news/china-has-no-preference-about-which-party-comes-to-power-in-nepal-but-it-wants-a-stable-government-says-a-chinese-expert/

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